Tag: 南京Sn

DANIEL DONS AIRLINE PILOT UNIFORM FOR FLYING STRICTLY PERFORMANCE!

first_imgDANIEL O’DONNELL and partner Kristina Rihanoff got off to a flying start in their foxtrot routine on Strictly Come Dancing this evening – and landed 23 points from the judges on the hit BBC TV show.And now the judges believe Daniel can get better – if he gets the better of his nerves.“It’s the most nervous I’ve been in 35 years,” said Daniel after his dance. Judge Bruno joked that the performance was “premium ecomomy” and told Daniel he had to have more confidence.And Daniel joked: “We might have hit an air pocket or two.”Judge Craig said however the routine was “lacking in style” but did praise the Donegal man for his “great musicality” adding that Daniel “needs to be more dynamic”.But judge Darcey said Daniels lifts were “seamless and very good” telling Daniel:”Throw those nerves away – and give more and more.” And Len told the couple: “You must have been on EasyJet because there was a lovely flow to it – there’s a charm and an elegance to it.”Daniel said afterwards: “I love the foxtrot – it feels like I’m going to take off. Even if we go home now, I loved it….and the good thing is I can fly home now.”Daniel and Kristina scored 23 points – two more than last week as follows:Craig 5Darcey 6 Len 6Bruno 6Total: 23DANIEL DONS AIRLINE PILOT UNIFORM FOR FLYING STRICTLY PERFORMANCE! was last modified: October 17th, 2015 by John2Share this:Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)Tags:BBCdaniel o’donnellfoxtrotKristina RihanoffStrictly Come Dancinglast_img read more

Market action for sideways prices

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Soybean market commentaryArgentina weather remains good, which could mean an increase in bean yield estimates.  If this continues, global supply will be high and likely push down prices. The key will be plenty of rain through the growing season, and then dry weather during harvest. Expect volatility for the next few months, as many speculators remember last year’s events.Corn market commentaryCorn continues to trade sideways. Farmers are selling when the market rallies, but quickly stop when the market pulls back. Two billion bushels of carryout will continue to hold this market back. It seems to be another year of boring winter trading months.Looking forward, many wonder how many acres U.S. farmers will plant in 2017.  Some don’t believe early surveys suggesting reduced corn acres. However, farmers I talk to say that it’s difficult to not take the guaranteed profits of beans, when corn isn’t at profitable prices right now. If this happens, corn may have some upside potential. Still it’s unclear how accurate the USDA usage estimates are for the current year. If corn acres aren’t reduced more than 2 million acres in March, the market will be facing an uphill battle.Market ActionUncertain about the market direction going into spring, and with nothing sold for 2017 new crop, I want to make my first trade.  With what I know now, I expect the market to be trading sideways next fall.Trade DetailsBack on 1/23/17 – Dec ’17 corn futures were at $3.95Sold 2 – Dec 4.00 calls – collected 29 cents each (or 58 cents total)Bought 1 – Dec 3.50 put – paid 11 centsBought 1 – Dec/Dec +20 C.S.O. call –  paid 5 cents (I’ll explain what this is at the bottom)Net profit: +40 cents (after paying a 2 cent commissions)All Trades Expire: Day after ThanksgivingThis trade amount = 5% of planned production so I doubled the sale to get 10% coverage on.What does this mean?Basically I have a floor price of $3.90 and a price ceiling of $4.40, but the outcome varies depending on the price of Dec corn at expiration.If Dec corn is at or below $4.20 at expiration  I get somewhere between $3.90 and $4.40Every penny corn is below $4.20 to $4.00, 1 additional cent is added on to the $4.20 price (e.g. if it is $4 exactly I take home $4.40)Every penny corn is below $4.00 to $3.50, 1 cent is subtracted from $4.40 all the way down to $3.90 (if it is at $3.50)Anywhere under $3.50, and I still get $3.90 (5 cents below where the market was when I placed the trade)If Dec corn is above $4.20 – I have to make another corn sale at $4.20 (even if corn is $4.50 or $5)If this happens, I’ll most likely move this sale directly to the 2018 crop yearWhy would you move the additional sale to 2018?I don’t want to wonder all year long if I will have to increase my sales by an additional 10% sale in 2017.  I will know with certainty that at worst I move an additional sale to 2018.  In seven of the last 10 years, if I had to move a trade like this forward I would have received around a 40 cent profit (i.e. the 4.20 becomes a 4.60 sale) to move the additional sale to the following year. The three years it didn’t work was due to a drought (2010, 2011, 2012), which caused inverses (where nearby prices are higher than prices in the future) in the market.  In 2010, there was a 20 cent inverse, while 2011 had a 40-cent inverse and 2012 had a 100-cent loss.  If this happens, I will have to roll this sale to next year at those type of losses.The trade sounds great, but the 100-cent loss is too much.I agree, I can’t afford to take that big of a loss on a 4.20 sale.  That’s where the Dec/Dec +20 CSO call option comes into play.A CSO option is a calendar spread option. It’s an option based upon spreads between future contracts and it is traded in the pits and not electronically.  Not many people are familiar with these types of options, so they can be harder to find quotes on when the market isn’t open.  CSO options can protect farmers from the inverses of 2010-2012 situation detailed above. It provides a guarantee that I will not take more than a 20-cent hit on the additional $4.20 sale that I would have to move from the Dec ’17 to Dec ’18.  In other words, worst case scenario: I move my $4.20 sale to 2018 and its worth $4.  This isn’t a bad spot to start pricing some corn for 2018, if it gives me the opportunity to trade at or above $4.20 in 2017 especially if the market is trading sub $4 today.As seen in the chart below this trade gives me lots of protection and great upside potential if the market is at these levels next fall.Seems like a great trade, why not do more?There is still the potential of doubling up 2018 sales at $4, which I’m willing to accept, but I don’t want to commit more than 10% right now.Trade SummaryBottom line: this is a sideways market trade play with full downside protection.Market trades sideways — biggest profit (the closer the market is to $4, the better)Market goes up — I get a premium that puts me on our farm’s breakeven points or betterMarket goes down — I have a $3.90 floor priceHorrible drought — I miss out a little on a huge price rally, but I’m protected against having to sell more grain at lower values this year.As I’ve mentioned before, I plan my grain marketing on what I think might happen based upon what I know today and historical trends. However, I still consider all possible scenarios the market could do.  The market can do three things: go up, go down, or go sideways.  So when making trades I need to be comfortable with all outcomes.  That’s why I always balance potential premiums on each trade against the risk I’m taking if the market goes a different direction.Jon grew up raising corn and soybeans on a farm near Beatrice, NE. Upon graduation from The University of Nebraska in Lincoln, he became a grain merchandiser and has been trading corn, soybeans and other grains for the last 18 years, building relationships with end-users in the process. After successfully marketing his father’s grain and getting his MBA, 10 years ago he started helping farmer clients market their grain based upon his principals of farmer education, reducing risk, understanding storage potential and using basis strategy to maximize individual farm operation profits. A big believer in farmer education of futures trading, Jon writes a weekly commentary to farmers interested in learning more and growing their farm operations.Trading of futures, options, swaps and other derivatives is risky and is not suitable for all persons. All of these investment products are leveraged, and you can lose more than your initial deposit. Each investment product is offered only to and from jurisdictions where solicitation and sale are lawful, and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations in such jurisdiction. The information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent research before making your investment decisions. Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC is merely providing this information for your general information and the information does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision. The contents of this communication and any attachments are for informational purposes only and under no circumstances should they be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation to buy or sell any future, option, swap or other derivative. The sources for the information and any opinions in this communication are believed to be reliable, but Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy of such information or opinions. Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC and its principals and employees may take positions different from any positions described in this communication. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. He can be contacted at jon@superiorfeed.com.last_img read more

As Facebook Ages, Gen Y Turns to Twitter

first_imgsarah perez Tags:#Features#NYT#Trends#twitter#web Guide to Performing Bulk Email Verification Related Posts Facebook is getting old. No, people aren’t getting tired of it, it’s actually getting old, as in its population is aging. In May of 2008, the median age for Facebook was 26. Today, it’s 33, a good seven years older. That’s an interesting turn of events for a site once built for the exclusive use of college students. So where are today’s college students hanging out now? Well, to some extent, they’re still on Facebook, despite having to share the space with moms, dads, grandparents, and bosses. Surprisingly though, they’re also headed to another network you may have heard of: Twitter.As it turns out, Gen Y likes Twitter…Well, maybe not, but they are using itOver the course of the year, there have been countless reports – some more substantial than others – but all with the same message: Generation Y is just not interested in Twitter. The reports generally cited members of this demographic as saying Twitter was “pointless” and “narcissistic.” Apparently, that’s beginning to change. Well, maybe not their perception of Twitter, but certainly their use of it. Today, Twitter is now the second-youngest of the top four social networking sites. Its median age is 31. MySpace’s is 26, LinkedIn is 39, and, as noted above, Facebook is 33.When looking at specific younger demographic segments, and not just Gen Y, you can see strong Twitter uptake over the past year. For example, 37% of those 18-24 now use Twitter when only 19% did back in December 2008. And in the slightly older 25-34 bracket, a portion of which could still be considered Gen Y, 31% are now using the service compared to only 20% in December of last year. Combined, these two groups account for more than half of Twitter’s network. Why is Gen Y Now Flocking to Twitter?So what gives? Why has Gen Y seemingly changed their minds about the social microblogging network that only months ago they avoided? A recent AP article offered up some ideas including the influx of celebrity tweeters, pressure from teachers or bosses, and it even hinted that Gen Y’ers entering the workplace have found value in the network for business-related purposes. That same sentiment was shared by Meredith Sires of Gen Y trend-watching site, YPulse. She theorizes that the rapid growth in the 18-24 demographic has to do more with the recent college graduates segment of that group finding ways to build entirely new online contact lists and create new identities more closely tied to information-sharing. However, there have not been any in-depth studies that detail all the various reasons that Gen Y has chosen to adopt the microblogging network. To date, everything cited consists of just theories and speculations based on anecdotal evidence. But while all the ideas have merit, the theory that rings truest to our ears is the one put forth by Craig Watkins, a University of Texas professor and author of the book “The Young and the Digital.” He says that what we’re seeing is “…a kind of closing of that generational gap as it relates to technology.” In other words, young and old alike are joining the same networks and socializing in the same spaces. At this point, we would have to agree. After all, Gen Y (or Gen Z for that matter), hasn’t all of a sudden flocked to some new social networking site where the majority of the online user base mostly consists of their peers. Although some niche sites like FML, Failblog, TextsFromLastNight, and Sporcle have apparently attracted this young crowd, their numbers are dwarfed by those of Facebook, Twitter, and the like. It seems as if Gen Y is simply content to join the older adults on the top social networks of today and not strike out on their own…and vice versa. The older social networking users, in turn, never really set up shop on networks designed just for them like the (now “hibernating”) Boomj, a social network for baby boomers, or the online old folks home eons.com. They, too, have gravitated towards Facebook and Twitter. Will this ever change? Will there ever be another network dominated by the digital youth? Of course no one can know for sure, but odds are that unless it’s a closed-off network where entry is barred to those over a certain age, any new social network will have trouble keeping the grown-ups out these days. And even if some such network ever sprang into existence, it may struggle to attract the Gen Y members it desires – especially since they’re so content to socialize on the sites they already use. And now that they’ve added Twitter to that list, the challenge to draw them away to yet another social networking site may prove even more difficult than before.Note: statistics in this article are from Pew Internet’s Recent Report on Twitter for Fall 2009 Facebook is Becoming Less Personal and More Pro… The Dos and Don’ts of Brand Awareness Videos A Comprehensive Guide to a Content Auditlast_img read more

The Final Ask Is the Easiest Commitment to Gain. Or the Most Difficult.

first_imgThe final ask, The Commitment to Decide, is either the easiest commitment to gain, or it is the most difficult. How you sell up to that point determines which of these two things is true for you.If you have gone through the process, ensuring that you are not far out in front of your prospective client, nor allowing them to get too far out in front of you, closing is easy. If you have helped them explore change, commit to doing something different, collaborate around the solution, build consensus, agree to the right investment, review their choices, and resolve their concerns, the ask is a formality. Literally, you can just ask for the business.If on the other hand, if you got way out in front of your prospective client, disconnecting with them and not making sure they have what they need to say “yes” to your ask, then the final close is going to be difficult to gain, and you are to blame. If you let your client control the process, disconnecting from you and not doing what really needs to be done to make a good decision, the close will be difficult, mostly because your dream client now determines what comes next. What comes next is often nothing. They go dark. This is also your fault because you didn’t push back and explain why you still needed to do what was necessary.If you struggle to gain the final commitment, if you have a low closing rate, it isn’t because asking for the business is so difficult. It’s because you haven’t done what was necessary leading up to that point to make the final ask a fait accompli.All of the more difficult commitments come earlier in the process. If you want to spend time learning how to close, then spend time learning how to gain the commitments that make closing easy. Get the Free eBook! Learn how to sell without a sales manager. Download my free eBook! You need to make sales. You need help now. We’ve got you covered. This eBook will help you Seize Your Sales Destiny, with or without a manager. Download Nowlast_img read more

One register to count them all — how the NRC fares

first_imgMillions of people in Assam on Sunday lived through the “the stroke of midnight”, to use Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru’s immortal words, as the Assam government published the first draft of an updated National Register of Citizens (NRC) of the State. While the document is meant to establish the credentials of a bona fide citizen, there are several questions surrounding the NRC. Here is a brief list of FAQs on the NRC.Why was it necessary to bring out an NRC in Assam?The NRC is being updated in Assam to detect Bangladeshi nationals, who may have illegally entered the State after the midnight of March 24, 1971, the cut-off date. This date was originally agreed to in the 1985 Assam Accord, signed between the then Rajiv Gandhi government and the All Assam Students’ Union (AASU).However, successive State governments failed to achieve much progress in detecting and deporting foreigners as set out in the Assam Accord. In 2005, another agreement was signed between the Centre, the then Tarun Gogoi government in Assam and the AASU where it was decided to update the NRC that was first published after the Census data of 1951 in post-Partition India.Though the Gogoi government had started the NRC update as a pilot project in some districts, it was stopped after violence broke out in some parts of the State.In July 2009, Assam Public Works (APW), an NGO, petitioned the Supreme Court for identification of Bangladeshi foreigners in the State and deletion of their names from the voters’ list.What will happen to those persons who don’t find their names in the draft register published on Monday?The list published on Monday is the first draft of the updated NRC. Another list is expected by February-end or early March, with more names and details.However, if a citizen’s name is missing, he or she can file an objection and request that the name be included after submitting the requisite documents to the NRC centre or online on the website www.nrcassam. nic.inIs there a possibility of violence in the State if a large number of people don’t find their names in the register?The Assam government did fear violence and hence requisitioned over 20,000 paramilitary personnel and requested the Army to be on standby to deal with any law-and-order issue.However, Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal said people, irrespective of their caste or religion, had taken part in the process and expressed confidence that the NRC update will not result in violence.The security challenge, however, will emerge only when the process of updating the NRC gets completed and a large number of people are left out.Is the NRC a court-mandated exercise?Yes, the publication of the first draft of the NRC by December 31, 2017 was ordered by the Supreme Court.The top court has been hearing this case since July 2009 when Assam Public Works moved court to intervene in detecting and deporting Bangladeshis.Should persons of Assam living in other parts of the country also have their names in the register?NRC is a process by which a bona fide Indian citizen can be distinguished from a foreigner.If a person from Assam is living or working in another part of the country, it is advisable to get oneself registered and establish one’s legacy as an “inhabitant” of Assam.last_img read more